Xa ukubuyiswa kwezoqoqosho kuhlangabezana ne-bottleneck ye-chain chain, kunye nexesha lokufudumeza lasebusika elisondelayo, uxinzelelo kwishishini lamandla laseYurophu liyenyuka, kwaye i-hyperinflation yegesi yendalo kunye nexabiso lombane liba lukhulu ngakumbi, kwaye akukho mqondiso omncinci wokuba le meko iya kuphuculwa kwixesha elifutshane.
Xa bejongene noxinzelelo, oorhulumente abaninzi baseYurophu baye bathatha amanyathelo, ngokuyininzi ngokukhululeka kwerhafu, ngokukhupha iivawutsha zokusetyenziswa kunye nokulwa nentelekelelo yorhwebo lwekhabhoni.
Ubusika abukafiki, kwaye ixabiso legesi kunye nexabiso leoli lifikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu elitsha
Njengoko imozulu isiya isiya ngokubanda, amaxabiso egesi yendalo kunye nombane eYurophu aye atsiba ukuze abhale phezulu. Iingcali ngokubanzi ziqikelela ukuba ukunqongophala kombane kulo lonke ilizwekazi laseYurophu kuya kuba kubi ngakumbi.
I-Reuters ibike ukuba ukususela ngo-Agasti, ixabiso legesi yendalo yaseYurophu liye lanyuka, liqhuba amaxabiso ombane, amalahle ombane kunye neminye imithombo yamandla. Njengomlinganiselo wokurhweba ngegesi yendalo yaseYurophu, ixabiso legesi yendalo yeziko le-TTF eNetherlands linyuke laya kwi-175 euros / MWh ngoSeptemba 21, ngokuphindwe kane kunoko ngoMatshi. Ngegesi yendalo enqongopheleyo, amaxabiso egesi yendalo kwiziko le-TTF eNetherlands asakhula.
Ukunqongophala kombane kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane akusezo ndaba. I-Arhente yaMandla yamazwe ngamazwe yathi kwingxelo ngoSeptemba 21 ukuba kwiiveki zakutshanje, amaxabiso ombane eYurophu anyukele kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngaphezu kweminyaka elishumi kwaye anyuke ngaphezu kwe-euro eyi-100 / i-megawatt iyure kwiimarike ezininzi.
Amaxabiso ombane eWholeyili eJamani naseFransi anyuke ngama-36% nama-48% ngokulandelelanayo. Amaxabiso ombane e-UK anyuke ukusuka kwi-£ 147 / MWh ukuya kwi-£ 385 / MWh kwiiveki ezimbalwa. Ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lombane eSpain nasePortugal lifikelele kwi-175 euros / MWh, ngokuphindwe kathathu kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezidlulileyo.
I-Itali ngoku lelinye lamazwe aseYurophu anelona xabiso liphezulu lokuthengisa umbane. Inethiwekhi yamandla e-Italiya kunye ne-Environmental Supervision Bureau isanda kukhupha ingxelo yokuba ukususela ngo-Oktobha, inkcitho yombane yamakhaya aqhelekileyo e-Italy kulindeleke ukuba inyuke nge-29,8%, kwaye inkcitho yegesi iya kunyuka nge-14.4%. Ukuba urhulumente akangeneleli ukulawula amaxabiso, la maxabiso mabini angasentla aya kunyuka nge-45% kunye ne-30% ngokulandelanayo.
Ababoneleli bombane abasisiseko abasibhozo eJamani baye banyusa okanye babhengeza ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ngokunyuka okuphakathi kwe-3.7%. UFC que choisir, umbutho wabathengi baseFransi, ukwalumkise ngelithi iintsapho ezisebenzisa ukufudumeza kombane kweli lizwe ziya kuhlawula umndilili we-euro ezili-150 ngaphezulu kunyaka ngamnye kulo nyaka. Ekuqaleni kuka-2022, amaxabiso ombane eFransi nawo anokwenyuka ngokugqithisileyo.
Ngokunyuka kwexabiso lombane, iindleko zokuphila kunye nokuveliswa kwamashishini eYurophu zinyuke kakhulu. IReuters yanikela ingxelo yokuba amatyala ombane wabahlali aye anda, yaye amashishini emichiza nezichumiso eBritani, eNorway nakwamanye amazwe aye anciphisa okanye ayeka ukuvelisa omnye emva komnye.
UGoldman Sachs ulumkise ngelithi ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kunganyusa umngcipheko wokucinywa kombane kobu busika.
Amazwe angama-02 aseYurophu abhengeza amanyathelo okuphendula
Ukunciphisa le meko, amazwe amaninzi aseYurophu athatha amanyathelo okujongana nayo.
Ngokutsho kwengcali yezoqoqosho yaseBritani kunye neBBC, iSpain neBritani ngawona mazwe achatshazelwa kakhulu kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane eYurophu. NgoSeptemba, urhulumente wobumbano okhokelwa nguPedro Sanchez, iNkulumbuso yeqela lobusoshiyali baseSpain, ubhengeze uthotho lwamanyathelo ajolise ekunciphiseni ukunyuka kweendleko zamandla. Oku kuquka ukunqumamisa irhafu yokuveliswa kombane yesi-7% kunye nokunciphisa izinga lerhafu eyongeziweyo kwabanye abasebenzisi bamandla ukusuka kwi-21% ukuya kwi-10% kwisiqingatha sesibini salo nyaka. Urhulumente ukwabhengeze ukuthotywa okwethutyana kwingeniso egqithileyo efunyenwe ziinkampani zamandla. Urhulumente uthe injongo yakhe kukunciphisa intlawulo yombane ngaphezulu kwe-20% ekupheleni kuka-2021.
Ingxaki yamandla kunye neengxaki zokubonelela okubangelwa yi-brexit ziye zachaphazela kakhulu i-UK. Ukususela ngo-Agasti, iinkampani zegesi ezilishumi e-UK zivaliwe, zichaphazela abathengi abangaphezu kwe-1.7 yezigidi. Okwangoku, urhulumente waseBritani ubambe intlanganiso engxamisekileyo kunye nenani labaxhasi bamandla ukuze baxoxe ngendlela yokunceda ababoneleli bahlangabezane nobunzima obubangelwa ngamaxabiso arekhodiweyo egesi yendalo.
I-Itali, efumana i-40 pesenti yamandla ayo kwigesi yendalo, isesichengeni sokunyuka kwamaxabiso egesi yendalo. Okwangoku, urhulumente uchithe malunga ne-1.2 yeebhiliyoni zee-euro ukulawula ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane wasekhaya kwaye wathembisa ukubonelela nge-3 yeebhiliyoni zee-euro kwiinyanga ezizayo.
UNdunankulu uMario Draghi uthe kwiinyanga ezintathu ezizayo, ezinye zeendleko zenkqubo ebizwa ngokuba yi-original ziya kutsalwa kwiibhilikhwe zegesi yendalo kunye nombane. Bekumele ukuba banyuse irhafu ukuze bancede kwinguqu kumandla avuselelekayo.
UNdunankulu waseFransi uJean Castel uthe kwintetho yethelevishini ngoSeptemba 30 ukuba urhulumente waseFransi uya kuqinisekisa ukuba amaxabiso egesi yendalo kunye nombane akayi kuvuka ngaphambi kokuphela kobusika. Ukongeza, urhulumente waseFransi uthe kwiiveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo ngoDisemba kulo nyaka, "itshekhi yamandla" eyongezelelweyo ye-euro ezili-100 kwikhaya ngalinye iya kukhutshwa kwiintsapho ezizizigidi ezi-5.8 ezinengeniso ephantsi ukunciphisa impembelelo kumandla okuthenga usapho.
INorway engeyiyo i-EU yenye yezona zinto zinkulu ezivelisa i-oyile negesi eYurophu, kodwa isetyenziswa kakhulu ekuthengiseni amazwe angaphandle. Kuphela yi-1.4% yombane welizwe uveliswa ngokutshiswa kwamafutha efosili kunye nenkunkuma, i-5.8% ngamandla omoya kunye nama-92.9% oveliswa ngamanzi. Inkampani yamandla e-equinor yaseNorway ivumile ukuvumela ukonyuka kwe-2 billion cubic metres yerhasi yendalo ethunyelwa ngaphandle ngo-2022 ukuxhasa imfuno ekhulayo eYurophu nase-UK.
Ngoorhulumente baseSpain, eItali kunye nakwamanye amazwe bebiza ukuba ingxaki yamandla ibekwe kwi-ajenda kwingqungquthela elandelayo yeenkokheli ze-EU, i-EU iqulunqa isikhokelo malunga namanyathelo okunciphisa anokuthi aMazwe angamaLungu athathe ngokuzimeleyo ngaphakathi kwendawo yemithetho ye-EU.
Nangona kunjalo, i-BBC yathi akukho nto ibonisa ukuba i-EU iya kuthatha naluphi na ukungenelela okukhulu kunye nokugxila.
03 izinto ezininzi ezikhokelela kunikezelo lwamandla aqinileyo, anokuthi akhululeke ngo-2022
Yintoni ebangela le ngxaki yaseYurophu?
Iingcali zikholelwa ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane eYurophu kubangele inkxalabo malunga nokucima kombane, ngokukodwa ngenxa yokungalingani phakathi kokunikezelwa kwamandla kunye nemfuno. Ngokuchacha ngokuthe ngcembe kwehlabathi kubhubhani, imveliso kwamanye amazwe ayikachacha ngokupheleleyo, imfuno inamandla, unikezelo alwanelanga, kwaye ubonelelo kunye nemfuno ayilungelelananga, ibangela inkxalabo malunga nokumka kombane.
Ukunqongophala kobonelelo lwamandla eYurophu kukwanxulumene nobume bamandla ombane. UCao Yuanzheng, usihlalo we-BOC International Research Corporation kunye nomphandi ophezulu weChongyang Institute of finance of Renmin University of China, wabonisa ukuba umlinganiselo wokuveliswa kwamandla ahlambulukileyo eYurophu uyaqhubeka nokukhula, kodwa ngenxa yembalela kunye nezinye izinto ezingaqhelekanga zemozulu, isixa samandla omoya kunye nokuveliswa kombane wamanzi kuye kwancipha. Ukuze kuvalwe isithuba, imfuno yokuvelisa amandla obushushu yanda. Nangona kunjalo, njengoko amandla acocekileyo eYurophu nase-United States asekho kwiinguqu zenguqu, iiyunithi zamandla ezishushu ezisetyenziselwa ukunikezelwa kwamandla okungxamisekileyo ukucheba okungxamisekileyo zilinganiselwe, kwaye amandla okushisa akanakwenziwa ngexesha elifutshane, okubangela ukuba kubekho i-gap kunikezelo lwamandla.
Ingcali ngezoqoqosho yaseBritani ikwathi amandla omoya athatha isinye kwishumi samandla aseYurophu, aphinda kabini lawo mazwe anjengeBritani. Nangona kunjalo, iingxaki zemozulu zamva nje zinciphise umthamo wamandla omoya eYurophu.
Ngokumalunga nerhasi yendalo, unikezelo lwegesi yendalo eYurophu kulo nyaka nalo lwehlile kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye uluhlu lwegesi yendalo lwehlile. I-economist yabika ukuba iYurophu yafumana ubusika obubandayo kunye nobude obude kunyaka odlulileyo, kunye ne-inventory yegesi yendalo yehla, malunga ne-25% ephantsi kunokugcinwa kwexesha elide.
Imithombo emibini emikhulu yaseYurophu yokungenisa igesi yendalo kwamanye amazwe nayo yachaphazeleka. Malunga nesinye kwisithathu serhasi yendalo yaseYurophu ibonelelwa yiRashiya kunye nesinye kwisihlanu esivela eNorway, kodwa omabini amajelo obonelelo ayachaphazeleka. Ngokomzekelo, umlilo kwishishini lokulungisa eSiberia ubangele ukunikezelwa kwegesi yendalo engaphantsi kunoko bekulindelwe. Ngokutsho kweReuters, iNorway, isibini esikhulu kunazo zonke kumthengisi wegesi yendalo eYurophu, nayo inqunyelwe kukugcinwa kweendawo zeoli yeoli.
Njengamandla aphambili okuvelisa amandla eYurophu, ukunikezelwa kwerhasi yendalo akwanelanga, kwaye nombane uyaqiniswa. Ukongeza, uchatshazelwa sisimo sezulu esibi kakhulu, amandla ahlaziyekayo afana nombane wamanzi kunye namandla omoya akanakubekwa phezulu, nto leyo ekhokelela kunqongophalo olukhulu lonikezelo lwamandla.
Uhlalutyo lweReuters lukholelwa ukuba ukunyuka kwerekhodi kumaxabiso ombane, ngokukodwa amaxabiso egesi yendalo, kuye kwaqhuba ixabiso lombane eYurophu ukuya kwinqanaba eliphezulu iminyaka emininzi, kwaye le meko ayinakwenzeka ukuba ibe lula ekupheleni konyaka, kwaye nokuba ifom yokunikezelwa kwamandla eqinile ayiyi kuncitshiswa kwi-2022.
I-Bloomberg iphinde yaxela kwangaphambili ukuba uluhlu olusezantsi lwegesi yendalo eYurophu, ukuncitshiswa kwemibhobho yegesi ethunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nemfuno eyomeleleyo e-Asia zenza imvelaphi yokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Ngokuchacha koqoqosho kwixesha lasemva kobhubhani, ukuncitshiswa kwemveliso yasekhaya kumazwe aseYurophu, ukhuphiswano oluqatha kwimakethi ye-LNG yehlabathi, kunye nokwanda kwemfuno yokuveliswa kwamandla okubaswa ngegesi okubangelwa kukuhla kwexabiso lekhabhoni, ezi zinto zinokugcina unikezelo lwerhasi yendalo luqinile ngo-2022.
Ixesha lokuposa: Oct-13-2021
