Dambudziko resimba riri kuramba richiwedzera nekuuya kwekutonhora kwakanyanya, simba repasi rose rave kurira
Munguva pfupi yapfuura, gasi remusikirwo rave chinhu chekutengesa nekuwedzera kukuru gore rino.Misika yemusika inoratidza kuti mugore rapfuura, mutengo weLNG muAsia wakakwira neanoda kusvika 600%;kuwedzera kwegasi rechisikigo muEurope kunototyisa zvikuru.Mutengo muna Chikunguru wakawedzera neinopfuura 1,000% zvichienzaniswa naMay gore rapfuura;kunyange United States, iyo yakapfuma muzviwanikwa zvegasi rechisikigo, haigoni kumira nazvo., Mutengo wegasi wakambosvika padanho repamusoro mumakore gumi apfuura.
Panguva imwe cheteyo, oiri yakakwira kusvika pakakwirira zvikuru mumakore akati kuti.Kubva pa9: 10 muna Gumiguru 8, nguva yeBeijing, Brent crude oil futures yakakwira kupfuura 1% kusvika $82.82 per barrel, iyo yakakwira kubva Gumiguru 2018. Pazuva rimwe chetero, WTI crude oil futures yakabudirira kupfuura US $ 78/barrel, yekutanga. nguva kubva munaNovember 2014.
Vamwe vaongorori vanotenda kuti dambudziko remagetsi rinogona kunge richinyanya kukura nekuuya kwechando chakanyanya, icho chave kuridza mhere yedambudziko remagetsi pasi rose.
Maererano ne "Economic Daily" mushumo, avhareji mutengo wemagetsi muSpain nePortugal pakutanga kwaSeptember yaive yakapetwa katatu mutengo weavhareji mwedzi mitanhatu yapfuura, pa175 euros per MWh;mutengo wemagetsi weDutch TTF waive 74.15 euros paMWh.4 nguva dzakakwirira kupfuura muna March;Mitengo yemagetsi yeUK yakarova rekodhi yakakwira ye183.84 euros.
Kukwira kuri kuramba kuchikwira kwemitengo yegasi “ndicho chinokonzera” dambudziko remagetsi kuEurope.The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Henry Hub remangwana gasi rechisikigo uye reDutch Title Transfer Center (TTF) remangwana gasi rechisikigo ndiwo mabhenji makuru emitengo epasi rose emitengo yegasi.Parizvino, mitengo yekontrakiti yaGumiguru yevaviri yasvika padanho repamusoro regore.Dhiyabhorosi inoratidza kuti mitengo yegesi chaiyo muAsia yakawedzera nguva 6 mugore rapfuura, Europe yakakwira ka10 mumwedzi ye14, uye mitengo muUnited States yakasvika pakakwirira zvikuru mumakore gumi.
Musangano wemakurukota eEU mukupera kwaGunyana wakazeya nyaya yekukwira kwemitengo yegasi nemagetsi.Vashumiri vakabvumirana kuti mamiriro ezvinhu aripo panguva "yakakosha" uye vakapomera mamiriro asina kunaka ekuwedzera kwe280% mumitengo yegasi rechisikigo gore rino padanho rakaderera rekuchengetedza gasi rechisikigo uye kupihwa kweRussia.Zvipingamupinyi, kuderera kwesimba rekugadzirisa simba uye kutenderera kwezvinhu pasi pekuwedzera kwezvinhu zvakatevedzana.
Dzimwe nyika dzeEU dziri kukurumidza kugadzira matanho ekuchengetedza vatengi: Spain inopa rubatsiro kune vatengi nekudzikisa mitero yemagetsi uye kudzorera mari kubva kumakambani anoshanda;France inopa rubatsiro rwemagetsi uye rubatsiro rwemitero kumhuri dzine urombo;Italy neGreece vari kufunga nezverubatsiro Kana kuseta mitengo yezvivharo uye mamwe matanho ekudzivirira vagari kubva mukukanganisa kwekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi, ukuwo vachiona kushanda kwakajairwa kweruzhinji.
Asi dambudziko nderekuti gasi rechisikigo chikamu chakakosha chesimba reEurope uye rinotsamira zvakanyanya pane zveRussia.Kutsamira uku kwazova dambudziko guru munyika zhinji kana mitengo yakwira.
I International Energy Agency inotenda kuti munyika yepasi rose, matambudziko ekupa simba anogona kunge akapararira uye kwenguva refu, kunyanya mumamiriro ezvinhu ekukurumidzira kwakasiyana-siyana kunokonzera kukanganisa kwekutengesa uye kuderedzwa kwefossil mafuta ekudyara mukupindura kushanduka kwemamiriro ekunze.
Parizvino, simba reEuropean renewable simba harigoni kuzadza gaka mukudiwa kwesimba.Data inoratidza kuti kubva muna 2020, European renewable energy sosi yakagadzira 38% yemagetsi eEU, ichipfuura mafuta efossil kekutanga munhoroondo, uye yave sosi huru yemagetsi muEurope.Zvisinei, kunyange mumamiriro ekunze akanaka kwazvo, mhepo uye simba rezuva harigoni kuunza magetsi akakwana kuti asangane ne100% yegore negore.
Maererano neongororo yakaitwa naBruegel, mubatanidzwa mukuru weEU, munguva pfupi kusvika pakati, nyika dzeEU dzicharamba dzichitarisana nematambudziko emagetsi mabhatiri makuru ekuchengetedza simba risati agadzirwa.
Britain: kushaikwa kwemafuta, kushomeka kwevatyairi!
Kukwira kwemitengo yegasi kwakonzerawo kunetsa kuUK.
Sekureva kwemishumo, mutengo wakazara wegasi rechisikigo muUK wakakwira neinopfuura 250% mukati megore, uye vatengesi vazhinji vasina kusaina zvibvumirano zvemitengo yenguva refu vakarasikirwa zvikuru nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo.
Kubva Nyamavhuvhu, anopfuura gumi nemaviri egasi rechisikigo kana makambani emagetsi muUK akatevedzana kuzivisa kubhuroka kana kumanikidzwa kuvhara bhizinesi ravo, zvichikonzera kuti vatengi vanopfuura miriyoni imwe nemazana manomwe varasikirwe nevanovapa, uye kudzvanyirirwa kweindasitiri yemagetsi kuri kuramba kuchikwira. .
Mutengo wekushandisa simba kugadzira magetsi wawedzerawo.Sezvo matambudziko ekupa uye kudiwa ave akakurumbira, mutengo wemagetsi muUK wakawedzera nekanopfuura ka7 kana zvichienzaniswa negore rapera, zvakananga kuisa rekodhi yepamusoro kubva 1999. Kukanganiswa nezvinhu zvakadai sekukwira kwemagetsi uye kushomeka kwezvokudya, vamwe. zvitoro zvikuru muUK zvakapambwa zvakananga neveruzhinji.
Kushomeka kwevashandi kwakakonzerwa ne "Brexit" uye denda idzva rekorona rawedzera kunetsana muketani yekugovera yeUK.
Hafu yezviteshi zvepeturu muUK hazvina gasi rekuzadzazve.Hurumende yeBritain yakawedzera nekuchimbidza mavisa evatyairi vekunze zviuru zvishanu kusvika muna 2022, uye muna Gumiguru 4, nguva yemuno, yakaunganidza vangangosvika mazana maviri emauto kuti vatore chikamu mukufambisa kwemafuta.Zvisinei, nyanzvi dzinofunga kuti dambudziko rakaoma kugadzirisa zvachose munguva pfupi.
Global: Mudambudziko remagetsi?
Haisi nyika dzeEurope chete dziri kutambura nematambudziko emagetsi, mamwe hupfumi hwemusika huri kusimukira, uye kunyange United States, mutengesi mukuru wemagetsi kunze, haina kudzivirirwa.
Maererano neBloomberg News, kusanaya kwemvura kwakaipisisa muBrazil mumakore 91 kwakakonzera kuparara kwemagetsi ekugadzira magetsi emvura.Kana magetsi anotengeswa kubva kuUruguay neArgentina asina kuwedzera, zvinogona kumanikidza nyika yeSouth America kuti itange kurambidza magetsi.
Kuitira kurerutsa kudonha kwegetsi remagetsi, Brazil iri kutanga majenareta egasi echisikigo kugadzirisa kurasikirwa kunokonzerwa nekugadzirwa kwemagetsi emagetsi.Izvi zvinomanikidza hurumende kuti ikwikwidze nedzimwe nyika pamusika wakaoma wepasi rose wegasi, izvo zvinogona kukwidza mitengo yegasi zvisina kunanga zvakare.
Kune rumwe rutivi rwepasi, India iri kunetsekawo nezvemagetsi.
Nomura Financial Consulting and Securities India economist Aurodeep Nandi akati indasitiri yemagetsi yeIndia yakatarisana nedutu rakakwana: kudiwa kukuru, kuderera kwemumba, uye hapana kudzoserwa kwezvinhu kuburikidza nekunze.
Panguva imwecheteyo, mutengo wemarasha muIndonesia, imwe yevatengesi vakuru vemarasha muIndia, wakakwira kubva paUS$60 patani muna Kurume kuenda kuUS$200 patani muna Gunyana, zvichideredza kutengwa kwemarasha kweIndia.Kana iyo yekupihwa ikasazadzikiswa nenguva, India inogona kutema magetsi kumabhizinesi ane simba rakawanda uye zvivakwa zvekugara.
Semutengesi mukuru wegasi rechisikigo kunze kwenyika, United States zvakare yakakosha gasi remutengesi muEurope.Yakabatwa neHurricane Ida pakupera kwaAugust, kwete chete kugovera gasi rechisikigo kuEurope kwakavhiringidzika, asiwo mutengo wemagetsi ekugara muUnited States wakasimuka zvakare.
Kuderedzwa kwekubuda kwekabhoni kwakadzika midzi uye kuchamhembe kwehemisphere kwapinda munguva yechando inotonhora.Kunyange simba rekugadzira magetsi rakadzikiswa, kudiwa kwemagetsi kwawedzera, izvo zvawedzera kuwedzera gaka remagetsi.Mitengo yemagetsi yakakwira nekukurumidza munyika dzakawanda pasi rose.Mitengo yemagetsi kuUK yakatokwira kagumi.Semumiriri akatanhamara wesimba rinodzokororwa, nharaunda inoshamwaridzana uye yakaderera-kabhoni hydropower ine mukana mukuru panguva ino.Mumamiriro ezvinhu ekukwira kwemitengo mumusika wepasi rose wesimba, Nesimba gadzira mapurojekiti emagetsi emvura, uye shandisa simba remvura kuzadza gomba remusika rakasiiwa nekudzikiswa kwekugadzirwa kwemagetsi ekupisa.
Nguva yekutumira: Oct-12-2021
